Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 20.368877 23.104472 26.084747 29.574865 33.552977 37.949555 43.181973
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 16.107922 19.594538 23.674706 28.810104 35.113339 42.613382 52.238701
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 13.344780 17.285293 22.203345 28.810969 37.486508 48.530432 63.723087
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 11.361565 15.604874 21.229716 29.265725 40.510434 55.772836 78.208618
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 9.649629 14.002296 20.108125 29.352371 43.093245 62.918664 93.974618
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 8.555189 13.081704 19.784125 30.512715 47.415997 73.289839 116.406746
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 7.433578 11.938400 18.956029 30.795056 50.505345 82.421170 138.846563
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 6.296304 10.585076 17.590391 30.005434 51.775908 88.951610 158.472681
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.447348 9.564106 16.598443 29.665422 53.747789 97.027989 182.479154
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.957757 9.079527 16.438336 30.751351 58.449213 110.795816 219.846557
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.584037 8.741793 16.484585 32.227729 64.166805 127.552947 266.703569
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.117005 8.153156 15.971574 32.543965 67.693406 140.745278 309.281440
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.556491 7.307304 14.858229 31.530309 68.471545 148.824686 343.559357
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.079069 6.553309 13.810489 30.475616 68.992687 156.549609 379.142628
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.745970 6.049960 13.206484 30.289095 71.453108 169.209654 429.863104
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.496510 5.689054 12.853751 30.617449 75.215297 185.794588 494.886770
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.253984 5.304070 12.384504 30.588570 78.127138 200.993933 560.456493
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.110588 5.128654 12.375960 31.701024 84.207373 225.723002 659.332999
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.931656 4.837220 12.039614 31.915706 87.978178 245.195422 748.551083
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.719288 4.427023 11.339712 31.035103 88.559816 255.974150 814.529177
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.556091 4.117472 10.847970 30.635010 90.446578 271.008359 898.528954
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.473254 4.009078 10.873464 31.718349 97.008397 301.745771 1044.199602
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.411936 3.949936 11.024985 33.210077 105.195953 339.639876 1226.737025